Roger Koppl
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- Phone 315-443-4535
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Koppl’s research interests include the economic theory of experts, the theory of economic growth, complexity theory, and the production and distribution of knowledge in society. His work on forensic science reform has been featured in Forbes magazine, The Washington Post, The Atlantic, Reason magazine, Slate, The Huffington Post, and other outlets. His work on expert failure has been featured in The Sunday Telegraph, The Times of Israel, Arab News, Il Sole 24 Ore, Arizona Daily, The Critic, Real Clear Policy, and other outlets.
Koppl's Erdös number is 3.
Papers
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The Penrosean spinout: A new spin on the theory of the entrepreneurial firm
Diaz, F., Minniti, M.
Publications
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Public health and expert failure
2023 Public Choice,195,101-124,
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Against Expertism
2021 Review of Behavioral Economics,8,3-4,361-377,
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Scheall on the Epistemic Limits of Policy
2021 Cosmos + Taxis,9,3-4,23-34,
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Expert failure and pandemics: On adapting to life with pandemics
2021 Cosmos + Taxis,9,5-6,7-17, Murphy, J., Devereaux, A., Goodman, N.
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On the emergence of ecological and economic niches
2020 Journal of Bioeconomics,22,2,99-127, Cazzolla Gatti, R., Fath, B., Kauffman, S., Hordijk, W., Ulanowicz, R.
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Letter to the Editor: Do Court-Assessed Fees Induce Laboratory Contingency Bias in Crime Laboratories?
2020 Journal of Forensic Sciences,65,5,1793-1794,
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Response Paper (in "Symposium on Roger Koppl's Expert Failure")
2019 Cosmos + Taxis,7,1-2,73-84,
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Letter to the Editor: Reply to Biedermann and Gittelson
2019 Science & justice; Formerly known as journal of the Forensic Science Society,59,4,467-469,
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Leland Bennett Yeager: 1924–2018
2019 Independent Review, The,23,3,435-442,
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Strategic Choice in Linear Sequential Unmasking
2019 Science & justice; Formerly known as journal of the Forensic Science Society,59,2,166-171,
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Appropriate standards for verification and validation of probabilistic genotyping systems
2018 Journal of Forensic Sciences,63,1,339-340, Adams, N., Krane, D., Thompson, W., Zabell, S.
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Rules vs. discretion under computability constraints
2017 4,1,32,
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Still Against Design: A Response to Steven Calabresi, Sanford Levinson and Vernon Smith
2016 Arizona State Law Journal ,48,1,241-248, Devins, C., Kauffman, S., Felin, T.
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Do Observer Effects Matter? A Comment on Langenburg, Bochet, and Ford
2015 Forensic Science Policy & Management: An International Journal,6,1-2,1-6, Charlton, D., Kornfield, I., Krane, D., Risinger, M., Robertson, C., Saks, M., Thompson, W.
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Economics for a creative world: a response to comments
2015 Journal of Institutional Economics,11,1 ,61-68, KAUFFMAN, S., FELIN, T., LONGO, G.
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Economics for a creative world
2015 Journal of Institutional Economics,11,1 ,1–31, KAUFFMAN, S., FELIN, T., LONGO, G.
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Against Design
2015 Arizona State Law Journal,47,3,609-681, Devins, C., Stuart, K., Teppo, F.
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Economic Opportunity and Evolution: Beyond Landscapes and Bounded Rationality
2014 Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal,8,4,269–282, Felin, T., Kauffman, S., Longo, G.
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The Criminal Justice System Creates Incentives for False Convictions
2013 Criminal Justice Ethics,32,2,126-162, Sacks, M.
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Using procedural justice to understand, explain, and prevent decision-making errors in forensic sciences
2013 Organization Management Journal,10,2,99-109, Behson, S.
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Speaking of experts: An introduction to the volume
2012 Advances in Austrian Economics,17,1-16, Koppl, R., Horwitz, S., Dobuzinskis, L.
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Hayek, Keynes, and modern macroeconomics
2012 25,3,223-241, Luther, W.
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Leveraging Bias in Forensic Science
2012 Fordham Urban Law Journal,39,37,
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Experts and information choice
2012 Advances in Austrian Economics,17,171-202, Koppl, R., Horwitz, S., Dobuzinskis, L.
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Introduction to the Schutz Interview
2011 Schutzian Research. A Yearbook of Lifeworldly Phenomenology and Qualitative Social Science,3,15–24, Augier, M.
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Alfred Schutz Interview on Economics and Politics
2011 Schutzian Research,3,15–24, Augier, M.
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Against representative agent methodology
2011 24,1,43-55,
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Commentary on: Thornton JI. Letter to the editor-a rejection of "working blind" as a cure for contextual bias. J Forensic Sci 2010;55(6):1663
2011 Journal of Forensic Sciences,56,2,562-563, Thompson, W., Ford, S., Gilder, J., Inman, K., Jamieson, A., Kornfield, I., Krane, D., Mnookin, J., Risinger, D., Rudin, N., Saks, M., Zabell, S.
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An experimental study of blind proficiency tests in forensic science
2011 24,3,251-271, Cowan, E.
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Monetary policy regimes in macroeconomic data: An application of fractal analysis
2011 Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance,51,2,201-211, Mulligan, R.
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An economic perspective on “Unanalyzed evidence in law-enforcement agencies
2010 CRIMINOLOGY & PUBLIC POLICY,9,2,411-419, Cowan, E.
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Organization economics explains many forensic science errors
2010 Journal of Institutional Economics,6,1,71-81,
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Introduction: Regrettably exciting times
2010 Advances in Austrian Economics,14,1-23,
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A perspective on errors, bias, and interpretation in the forensic sciences and direction for continuing advancement
2010 Journal of Forensic Sciences,55,1,273-274, Krane, D., Ford, S., Gilder, J., Inman, K., Jamieson, A., Kornfield, I., Michael Risinger, D., Rudin, N., Scott Taylor, M., Thompson, W.
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Rational bias in forensic science
2010 Law, Probability and Risk,9,1,69–90, Whitman, G.
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The social construction of expertise
2010 Society,47,3,220-226,
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The Preaching Must Never Stop Remembering Larry Moss
2010 69,1,58-63,
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Some epistemological implications of economic complexity
2010 International Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization,76,3,859-872,
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A battle of forensic experts is not a race to the bottom
2010 Review of Political Economy,22,2,235-262, Cowan, E.
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Confessions of a neuro-Hayekian
2010 Advances in Austrian Economics,13,391-397,
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Evolutionary forensic psychology: Darwinian Foundations of Crime and Law
2009 EVOLUTION AND HUMAN BEHAVIOR,30,5,377-379,
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Time for DNA disclosure
2009 Science,326,5960,1631-1632, Krane, D., Bahn, V., Balding, D., Barlow, B., Cash, H., Desportes, B., D’Eustachio, P., Devlin, K., Doom, T., Dror, I., Ford, S., Funk, C., Gilder, J., Hampikian, G., Inman, K., Jamieson, A., Kent, P., Kornfield, I., Krimsky, S., Mnookin, J., Mueller, L., Murphy, E., Paoletti, D., Petrov, D., Raymer, M., Risinger, D., Roth, A., Rudin, N., Shields, W., Siegel, J., Slatkin, M., Song, Y., Speed, T., Spiegelman, C., Sullivan, P., Swienton, A., Tarpey, T., Thompson, W., Ungvarsky, E., Zabell, S.
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Authors' response
2009 Journal of Forensic Sciences,54,2,501, Krane, D., Ford, S., Gilder, J., Inman, K., Jamieson, A., Kornfield, I., Michael Risinger, D., Rudin, N., Taylor, M., Thompson, W.
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Comments on the review of low copy number testing
2009 International Journal of Legal Medicine,123,6,535-536, Gilder, J., Kornfield, I., Krane, D., Mueller, L., Thompson, W.
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Authors' response
2009 Journal of Forensic Sciences,54,6,1500-1501, Krane, D., Ford, S., Gilder, J., Inman, K., Jamieson, A., Kornfield, I., Risinger, D., Rudin, N., Thompson, W., Taylor, M.
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The New Interventionist Economics
2009
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Darwin, Darwinism and social Darwinism: What do we learn from Darwin's theory of social evolution?
2009 International Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization,71,1,1-3, Marciano, A.
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Computable Entrepreneurship
2008 Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice,32,5,919-926,
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Epistemics for forensics
2008 Episteme: A Journal of Social Epistemology,5,2, Kurzban, R., Kobilinsky, L.
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Thinking impossible things: A review essay
2008 Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization,66,3-4,837–847,
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Introduction
2008 Advances in Austrian Economics,11,1-6, Koppl, R.
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Bayesian Bias in Forensics
2008 Whitman, G.
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Sequential unmasking: A means of minimizing observer effects in forensic DNA interpretation
2008 Journal of Forensic Sciences,53,4,1006-1007, Krane, D., Ford, S., Gilder, J., Inman, K., Jamieson, A., Kornfield, I., Michael Risinger, D., Rudin, N., Taylor, M., Thompson, W.
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CSI for r eal
2007
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Breaking Up the Forensics Monopoly: Eight ways to fix a broken system
2007 Reason,39,6,44,
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Diversity and forensics: Diversity in hiring is not enough
2007 Medicine, Science and the Law,47,2,117-124,
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Austrian economics at the cutting edge
2006 19,4,231-241,
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Entrepreneurial behavior as a human universal
2006 Entrepreneurship: The engine of growth,1,1–19,
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Does The Sensory Order have a Useful Economic Future?
2006 Advances in Austrian Economics,9,19-50, Butos, W., Krecke, E., Koppl, R.
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1 A zeal for truth
2006 Money and markets: essays in honor of Leland B. Yeager,1,
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Democratic Epistemics: An Experiment on Reducing errors in Forensic Science and Other Areas
2006 Papers on Economics and Evolution,
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Epistemic systems
2006 Episteme: A Journal of Social Epistemology,2,02,91–106,
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Bruce Caldwell, Hayek’s Challenge: An Intellectual Biography of FA Hayek, The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, London (2004) 489+ xi pp., index, US $55.00, ISBN 0-226-09191-0
2006 Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization,59,2,287–291,
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How to improve forensic science
2005 European Journal of Law and Economics,20,3,255-286,
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5 Big Players and money demand
2005 Modern applications of Austrian thought,68,95, Gilanshah, C.
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CONFIDENCE IN KEYNES AND HAYEK
2004 Friedrich A. Hayek,4,213, Butos, W.
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ECONOMICS EVOLVING: AN INTRODUCTION TO THE VOLUME
2004 Advances in Austrian Economics,7,1-16,
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Rational-choice hermeneutics
2004 International Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization,55,3,295-317, Whitman, D.
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Keynes and Hayek on expectations
2004 Friedrich A. Hayek,3,2,107, Butos, W.
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Carabelli & De Vecchi on Keynes and Hayek
2004 Review of Political Economy,16,2,239-247, Butos, W.
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11 Big players in the ‘new economy’
2004 Markets, information and communication: Austrian perspectives on the Internet economy,231, Sarjanovic, I.
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Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox: Gerd Gigerenzer, Reinhard Selten (Eds.), The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, London, UK, 2001, 377+ xv pp., index, ISBN 0-262-57164-1, $26.00
2004 Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization,53,3,431–434,
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Science as a spontaneous order: An essay in the economics of science
2003 The Evolution of Scientific Knowledge,189–208, Butos, W.
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Big Players in Slovenia
2003 16,2-3,253-269, Mramor, D.
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GAINS FROM TRADE BETWEEN AUSTRIAN ECONOMICS AND ENTREPRENEURIAL STUDIES: AN INTRODUCTION TO THE VOLUME
2003 Advances in Austrian Economics,6,1-7,
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What is alertness?
2002 Journal des Économistes et des Études Humaines,12,1,2,
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Random Walk Hypothesis Testing and the Compass Rose
2002 Finance Research Letters,2,1,14–17, Tuluca, S.
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All that I have to Say has already Crossed your Mind
2002 Metroeconomica,53,4,339–360, Rosser, Jr, B., others
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Symposium on Ekkehart Schlicht’s on custom in the economy (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1998)
2002 American Journal of Economics and Sociology,61,2,505–594, Mäki, U., Moss, L., BLAUG, M., VROMEN, J., KLAES, M., ANTONIDES, G., GROENEWEGEN, J., KRUG, B., WAGNER, R., others
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Custom and rules
2002 American Journal of Economics and Sociology,61,2,531-537,
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Confidence in Keynes and Hayek: reply to Burczak
2001 Review of Political Economy,13,1,81–86, Butos, W.
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Organizations and language games
2001 Journal of Management and Governance,5,3-4,287-305, Langlois, R.
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The angular distribution of asset returns in delay space
2001 Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society,6,2,101–120, Nardone, C.
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Introduction
2001 Review of Austrian Economics, The,14,2,111–117, Boettke, P.
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Alfred schütz and george shackle: Two views of choice
2001 14,2-3,181-191,
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Alchemies of the Mind: Jon Elster, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1999, 450+ xii pp., Index, ISBN 0-521-64279-5, US $59.95
2001 Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization,45,3,332–335,
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Embeddedness, Organizations, and Language Games
2000 Paper for, Langlois, R.
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Fritz Machlup and Behavioralism
2000 Industrial and Corporate Change,9,4,595-622,
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Remembrance and appreciation roundtable professor Ludwig m. Lachmann (1906-1990): scholar, teacher, and Austrian school critic of late classical formalism in economics
2000 American Journal of Economics and Sociology,59,3, Boehm, S., Kirzner, I., Lavoie, D.
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Policy implications of complexity: An Austrian perspective
2000 The Complexity Vision and the Teaching of Economics,97–117,
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Teaching complexity: an austrian approach
2000 The Complexity Vision and the Teaching of Economics,
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Explaining Volatility Dynamics: The Case of the Russian Ruble
1999 Managerial Finance,25,1,49–63, Broussard, J.
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Hayek and Kirzner at the Keynesian beauty contest
1999 Journal des Économistes et des Études Humaines,9,2-3,257–276, Butos, W.
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Apriorism and dualism
1999 Advances in Austrian Economics,5,159–179,
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Big players and the Russian rouble: explaining volatility dynamics
1999 Managerial Finance,25,1,49–63, Paul Broussard, J.
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Big players and entrepreneurial activity: Keynesian policies and the Kaleidic economy
1999 Journal des Économistes et des Études Humaines, Butos, W.
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The unintended consequences of entrepreneurship
1999 Journal des Économistes et des Études Humaines,9,4, Minniti, M.
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Expectations: Results from a Program in Subjectivist Economics’
1999 Fairleigh Dickinson University,
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Lachmann on the subjectivism of active minds
1998 Subjectivism and Economic Analysis: Essays in Memory of Ludwig Lachmann, New York and London: Routledge,
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It is high time take our ignorance more seriously
1997 International Review of Financial Analysis,5,3,259–272,
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Mises and Schutz on ideal types
1997 Cultural Dynamics,9,1,63-76,
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The Angular Distribution of Asset Returns in Delay Space
1997 Fairleigh Dickinson University, Madison, Department of Economics and Finance, working paper, February, Nardone, C.
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Complex bubble persistence in closed-end country funds
1997 Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization,32,1,19-37, Ahmed, E., Rosser, J., White, M.
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The Varieties of Subjectivism: Keynes and Hayek on Expectations
1997 History of Political Economy,29,2,327-359, Butos, W.
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Review of Uskali M‰ ki, Bo Gustafsson, and Christian Knudsen, editors, Rationality, Institutions and Economic Methodology
1997 Emerald Group Publishing Limited,
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persistence in closed-end country funds Alexander, PJ, Product variety and market structure: A new measure and a simple test Allen, DS, A multi-sector inventory model
1997 Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization,32,625–627, Ahmed, E., Rosser, Jr, J., White, M., others
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It is high time we take our ignorance more seriously
1996 International Review of Financial Analysis,5,3,259-272,
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The philosophy of the Austrian school: London, Routledge, 1993
1996 Advances in Austrian Economics,3,239–242,
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Man has fallen and he can’t get up: An essay on postmodernism and advertising
1996 Advertising and culture: Theoretical perspectives,75–84,
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Big players and herding in asset markets: The case of the Russian ruble
1996 Explorations in Economic History,33,3,367-383, Yeager, L.
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The Walras Paradox
1995 Eastern Economic Journal,43–55,
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Lachmann on Schütz and Shackle
1994 Advances in Austrian Economics,1,289–301,
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29 ‘Invisible hand’explanations
1994 The Elgar Companion to Austrian Economics,192,
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10 Ideal type methodology in economics
1994 The Elgar Companion to Austrian Economics,72,
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When do ideas matter? A study in the natural selection of social games
1994 Advances in Austrian Economics,1,81–104, Langlois, R.
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Hayekian expectations: Theory and empirical applications
1993 Constitutional Political Economy,4,3,303-329, Butos, W.
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Invisible-hand explanations and neoclassical economics: toward a post marginalist economics
1992 Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE),292–313,
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Price theory as physics: The Cartesian influence on Walras
1992 Methodus,4,17–28,
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What is the public interest?
1992 Business Ethics and Common Sense,
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Reply [Retrospectives: Animal Spirits]
1992 Journal of Economic Perspectives,6,3,211–12,
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Retrospectives: animal spirits
1991 Journal of Economic Perspectives,5,3,203–210,
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Fritz Machlup and marginalism: a reevaluation
1991 Methodus,3,2,86–102, Langlois, R.
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On democracy and capitalism: Reflections on Gerhard Wegner’s historical analysis
Journal of Contextual Economics (Schmollers Jahrbuch),forthcoming,
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Emergence of autocatalytic sets in a simple model of technological evolution
Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Hordijk, W., Kauffman, S.
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Jan 01, 2016
Elinor Ostrom Prize
World Interdisciplinary Network for Institutional Research -
Jan 01, 2015
Special recognition of my proposal "Cross-lab Redundancy in Forensic Science," submitted to Pioneer's 2015 Better Government Competition.
Pioneer Institute -
Jan 01, 2011
Received - Templeton Freedom Award
National Center for Policy Analysis
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Former state lab worker breaks silence on Nick Clavier case: ‘I still carry a lot of guilt’
July 18, 2023 6 News, Richmond -
Trust Us
December 01, 2022 Pacific Legal Foundation -
Senator Markey takes a dive
December 01, 2022 Liberty Fund, Inc. -
The Biden administration’s latest online speech plan is as Orwellian as the last
July 09, 2022 The Hill -
Biden’s Ministry of Truth paints America’s new face
May 16, 2022 Arab News -
Mind your manners, America, or the truth squad will step in
May 05, 2022 The Hill -
Biden Establishes a Ministry of Truth
May 02, 2022 Wall Street Journal -
Society Advances One Dead Economist at a Time with Roger Koppl
August 21, 2021 All Power To The Imagination -
Narrow and unbalanced Sage leaves the Government in a lockdown bind
July 18, 2021 The Sunday Telegraph -
The Scientific Experts Have Failed – Terminate their Tyranny
February 16, 2021 The Times of Israel -
Robinhood and Redditors: Who's robbin' who?
February 02, 2021 EconLib -
Expert Failure: Time to Dismantle the “Public Health” Police State
December 02, 2020 Arizona Daily Independent -
We need a market for expert advice, and competition among experts
November 03, 2020 IEA UK -
The government and its experts aren't asking themselves the right questions before they restrict our fundamental freedoms
September 30, 2020 The House -
Q2 2020 Hedge Fund Holdings: Top Stocks, New Buys & More
August 27, 2020 Wallet Hub -
People Are Right to Be Skeptical of Experts. That's Why We Need More of Them.
July 29, 2020 RealClearPolicy -
Mother Nature Isn't Human Nature: A Wicked Problem
May 14, 2020 EconLib -
The fallen state of experts
May 08, 2020 The Critic -
Pandemics and the Problem of Expert Failure (cont.)
April 02, 2020 EconLib -
Pandemics and the Problem of Expert Failure (continued)
March 31, 2020 econlib.org -
Pandemics and the Problem of Expert Failure
March 30, 2020 econlib.org -
Value expertise but fear expert power and monopoly (guest: Roger Koppl)
December 10, 2019 Heartland Institute -
Roger Koppl: Expert Failure
September 05, 2019 This Is Not a Pipe Podcast -
How do we improve forensics?
August 26, 2019 Washington Post -
How Do We Reconcile Law Science?
August 06, 2019 Washington Post -
How much should juries rely on expert testimony?
July 16, 2019 Washington Post -
We need to fix forensics. But how?
June 20, 2019 Washington Post -
Flawed forensics, 20,000 wrongful convictions and government's culpability
June 18, 2019 Heartland Institute -
Il Populismo Ereditato Dalla Crisi Degli Esperti
October 05, 2018 Il Sole 24 Ore -
Q2 2018 Hedge Fund Holdings: Top Stocks, New Buys & More
August 30, 2018 WalletHub -
We Need to Talk About Bess
July 23, 2018 History Today